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Number 50

SAFE

Secure America's Future Economy

 

Summer 2008

 
   TAKING SAFE TO THE NEXT LEVEL    MICHAEL CRICHTON & GLOBAL WARMING
   COMMUNITY DAY    WHAT ABOUT ENERGY?
   GLOBAL WARMING TALKS    YOUR ENTRY FORM

 

 

TAKING SAFE TO THE NEXT LEVEL

                  BY BILL WHIPPLE

 

     Over the past several years, your board of directors has sought to more aggressively define and promote the SAFE agenda.

     The name of the organization was changed from “Seniors Against Federal Extravagance” to “Secure America’s Future Economy”, in hopes of conveying a more positive, forward-looking image.

     There have been a series of efforts to reach out to the three Congressmen from Delaware and also to establish networking relationships with other organizations such as the Concord Coalition and Citizens Against Government Waste.

     We launched a weekly blog in June 2007, which is making the SAFE message available around the globe.  Those of you who have been reading the entries can attest that there is some pretty meaty material involved.

     Now wouldn’t it be great if those Delaware Congressmen and their colleagues started reading the SAFE blog and taking our message seriously?  Not that we care who gets the credit, but it is crucial to persuade government leaders to face up to the dictates of fiscal responsibility before the house of cards they have been building caves in.

     Good things could happen if enough people were reading the blog, talking about it, and perhaps commending the content to family, friends, business associates, media contacts, politicians, etc.  An endorsement might go something like this:  “I thought you would be interested in the 6/23/08 entry of the SAFE blog, which works for me because __________________.  Here is the link:  http://www.s-a-f-e.org/blog.htm.”

     That’s where all of you come in; the board cannot do it alone.  And you can help get the ball rolling by participating in a contest (already announced in the 6/23/08 blog entry) that will be open to both SAFE members and the general public. Entrants are asked to evaluate the content of the blog during its first year, identify what they consider the most interesting or important entry (or entries), and provide suggestions for making future entries even more informative, relevant, and persuasive.

     The contest offers a chance to make a difference, with fun prizes for the winning entries.  For further details, see the entry form at the back of this newsletter or go to the form posted on the Safe website (s-a-f-e.org, Initiatives page), which can be completed and submitted on line.  We hope to hear from all of you!

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COMMUNITY DAY – GLOBAL WARMING

 

     Emphasis in the media on this non-problem distracts from the real problem of government debt and entitlements.  We’ll help dispose of this distraction at Newark DE Community Day September 14th.

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GLOBAL WARMING TALKS   -    BILL MORRIS

 

     I continue giving the talk mentioned in the last newsletter.  I show evidence that burning fossil fuels is not a major cause of global warming, and point out that global warming will not have catastrophic effects.  This is counter to most of what we read and what we see on TV.  Audiences are very interested in the information and appear to agree almost without exception, that we don’t need to limit use of fossil fuels because of global warming.  Here is some of the information that I provide:

     The last several ice ages each have lasted about 100,000 years while the periods between ice ages have lasted about 10,000 years.  Ice cores taken from Greenland and Antarctica consist of ice made from snow that fell over millions of years.  The snow brought with it, gases, including isotope concentrations that provide useful information.  Oxygen 18 indicates temperature and beryllium 10 indicates the activity of the sun.

     During the last 150,000 years, temperature and carbon dioxide concentration appear to be related.  However, when the ice cores are examined closely, changes in carbon dioxide concentration are seen to follow temperature changes, with a lag of about 700 years.  Over 90% of the carbon dioxide on the earth is dissolved in the ocean, and when temperature increases, carbon dioxide solubility decreases.

     Alternate warm and cool periods lasting about 1500 years are superimposed on the large changes from ice age and in-between ice age periods.  Recent alternate warm and cool periods are the warm Roman period, the cool dark ages, the Medieval warm period, the “Little Ice Age” and the present warm period.  Roman and Medieval periods were warmer than today, and there were no catastrophic effects.  London wasn’t flooded.  The “Little Ice Age” was a disaster in Europe.  Crops failed, there was plague, and a third of Europeans died prematurely.

     The Medieval period was warmer than today. Grapes were grown on hills in England, where they can’t be grown today.  Human remains were discovered in frozen ground in Greenland, and it is reasonable to assume the burial was in soft ground.

     The temperature has been slowly increasing since the Little Ice Age.  The average shrinkage of 169 glaciers started at the end of the Little Ice Age, before significant use of fossil fuels.  The use of fossil fuels took off about 1950, but glacier shrinkage continued at about the same rate.  This result, along with the alternate warm and cool periods every 1500 years or so, tells us that use of fossil fuels is not a major cause of global warming.

     Examination of ice cores indicates that changes in the activity of the sun cause the alternate warm and cool periods.  This is supported by direct observation of the sun during the coldest part of the Little Ice Age.  Sunspots were at a minimum, indicating low activity of the sun.

     Warming occurred up to 1940, then there was a cooling period 1940 to 1970, followed by another warming period.  These short term temperature changes were mirrored by changes in the activity of the sun, indicating that the sun is responsible for the current warming period, as well as previous warming periods.

     Predictions of a catastrophic effect of global warming are not credible.  Some scientists get carried away when they are interviewed by the media.  They may predict sea level increases of 5, 10 or 20 feet.  Even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has lowered its prediction of the increase by the year 2100, to 1 ½ feet.  Lower predictions are made by non-government organizations.  It should be easy to cope with a one foot sea level rise over a period of three generations.

     Actually, warming is beneficial, and the increase in carbon dioxide is very beneficial to plants and indirectly to human beings and animals.

     It would be a shame to limit the use of energy in a fruitless attempt to control global warming.  Such a limitation would decrease our standard of living, and have a more serious effect on those human beings who are struggling to survive.

     We are lucky.  The present period between ice ages has been longer than usual.  This has allowed the human race to develop so that we can enjoy the comfort and affluence we enjoy.

     I continue to give this talk to Rotary Clubs and others in Northern Delaware and southeastern Pennsylvania.  I encourage others to give similar talks elsewhere, and I am more than willing to help, if requested.

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MICHAEL CRICHTON & GLOBAL WARMING

 

     Michael Crichton’s “State of Fear” novel (2004) is a exciting fiction, where the bad guys try to make catastrophes happen.  It is an extrapolation of the propaganda of the climate alarmists.

     At the end of the fiction, Crichton gives his opinions, and also discusses the Eugenics theory which held sway in the early 20th century.  The idea was that inferior humans should not reproduce.  Supporters included Theodore Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, Winston Churchill, and many others.  Also, the National Academy of Sciences, American Medical Association, Rockefeller Foundation, major universities and state governments.

     Opponents of the theory were vilified, but, “After World War II, nobody was a Eugenicist, and nobody had ever been a Eugenicist”.

     Crichton sees similarities with the global warming theory.  He notes that many outspoken critics are retired professors.  They “____ are no longer seeking grants, and no longer have to face colleagues whose grant applications and career advancement may be jeopardized by their criticisms.”

     The fiction in “State of Fear” was great reading, but what Crichton had to say at the end of the story is of more long term interest.

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WHAT ABOUT ENERGY?   -   BILL MORRIS

 

     Everybody’s talking about $4/gallon gasoline and looking for someone to blame.  First, there was Exxon Mobil, then the speculators.  Neither can be considered the cause of the high gasoline price.  Some of the cause is inflation.  The dollar has lost value because the federal government overspends.  Congress shares the blame with the American people who seek other people’s money from the federal government.

     Perhaps the main cause of high gasoline prices is the rapid increase in standard of living, mainly in China and India.  The increase in demand is so rapid that in 2007 China was adding a new coal fired power plant every four days (“Gusher of Lies, a 2008 book by Robert Bryce).  Environmental concerns take a back seat when you are desperate for energy.

     Nuclear power plants are needed and are being added in many countries.  They may be added in the U.S., but unrealistic fear of nuclear radiation will probably result in delay.  (See Newsletter 49 for a discussion of this problem.  Go to s-a-f-e.org if you haven’t saved your copy).

     Proposals that the U.S. allow more oil drilling in the ocean are being opposed with the comment that it will take ten years to obtain the crude oil.  Such comments don’t make sense, because it is clear that even more energy will be needed ten years from now.

     Robert Bryce writes that solar and wind power will be of little help.  He also provides devastating criticism of the use of ethanol.  The main point of his book is that energy independence for the U.S. is a pipe dream, and that we have no choice but to engage with the OPEC countries because they have the oil.  He also writes that purchasing oil from Islamic countries does not contribute to terrorism.  The terrorists get the money they need in other ways.

     I particularly like Robert Bryce’s suggestion that the government get out of the energy business.  He reminds us that the 1973 oil embargo didn’t work because of cheating.  The long gas station lines were caused by U.S. government action.

                             

Started June 20, 2007, the SAFE blog is updated weekly (generally on Mondays) to promote the SAFE agenda of smaller, more focused, less costly government.  It is accessible via the Internet to people around the world.

 

“Hit nail on head” is our motto.  Now we would like your feedback and suggestions so we can do an even better job in year two.

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Expired

 

1st Anniversary Contest – Fun Prizes – A chance to make a difference. 

 

The Questions

 

1.        Which entry or entries during the first year (from 6/20/07 to 6/23/08, all still posted on the SAFE Website) do you consider the most interesting or effective, and why?

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2.        How do you rate the content (considering accuracy, timeliness, and interest to you) of the blog, on a scale from 5 (outstanding) to 1 (poor)?  ______________

 

 

3.        Please let us have your suggestions as to topics or issues to address in the future, length of entries, sources, etc.

 

      ____________________________________________________________________________________________

 

      ____________________________________________________________________________________________

 

      ____________________________________________________________________________________________

 

Prizes

 

Anyone may enter this contest although Safe directors will not be eligible to win it.  Prizes (“conservative” books, selected on the basis of being entertaining as well as enlightening) will be awarded to other entrants, in our sole discretion, based on the completeness and aptness of entries received by August 30, 2008.

 

 

Entrant information (for SAFE use only)

 

 

Name & Address:  _________________________

 

_________________________________________

 

_________________________________________

 

_________________________________________

 

_________________________________________

 

Phone:  __________________________________

 

E-mail address:  ___________________________

 

_________________________________________

 

SAFE member:  [    ]  Yes;   No [     ]

 

Note:  If you are not a SAFE member but would like to join, please see the “join us” section of our Website (s-a-f-e.org) or the application form sent out with our newsletter.

 

 

 

To Submit

 

Please mail this form to SAFE, c/o William Whipple III, 115 Dungarvan Drive, Middletown, DE 19709

 


 

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